Retirement Income Navigator
Pension drawdown & longevity model
Will your pot go the distance?

See how long your pension income lasts — and how the fund you choose changes the answer.

Set your pot, the income you want to draw, and how markets might behave. The Navigator projects your fund alongside up to six alternatives, quarter by quarter, and estimates the odds your money lasts a lifetime. Simple to drive; every figure is open to inspection.

Your plan

£
£
Rises with inflation each year to keep its spending power.

Market outlook

Central: shares grow 7.0%, bonds 4.0%, inflation 2.5% a year.

Funds to compare

Change assumptions over time

By default the sliders above run the whole plan. Add one or more phases to override them for set periods — e.g. a downturn or negative-growth spell early on. A phase applies up to its year; any years after your last phase fall back to the main sliders. Set shares/bonds growth negative to model a market fall for those years. The Draw £ box lets you change the yearly income for that period too — e.g. a higher figure to fund a project, or a lower one to ease off in a downturn; leave it blank to keep your main income. Negative growth is allowed; the summary below shows exactly what applies when.

Extra costs & adviser fees
Charged on the whole pot, on top of each fund's own cost. Often the biggest lever.
Applied once to the alternatives (not your current fund) to reflect the cost of moving.
Tax & other income
Simplified UK income-tax bands, shown as spendable income after tax. Does not change how fast the pot falls (the pot pays the gross amount).
£
Reduces what must come from this pot each year (also rises with inflation).
Probability settings
Runs hundreds of random market paths around your average to estimate the chance the pot survives, and a likely range.
Leave at 0 for auto (set from each fund's share weight). Higher = wilder swings.
“Fat tails + momentum” represents occasional crashes and short streaks more realistically, and usually lowers the odds a little. Results are reproducible — identical inputs give identical odds.
More simulations steady the figure (less random wobble); they don't change the model. 2,000 keeps the odds stable to within about ±1%.
Manage funds & assumptions
Fund library

Pick a fund from the curated library to add it to the comparison with all its data pre-filled — no manual typing. Browse the full list to see each fund's fundamentals. Figures are an indicative snapshot (~Sep 2026) and stay editable. To add a fund that isn't listed, just tell me and I'll source it and add it.


✎ Edit the funds in your comparison

Each card below is one of your funds — type straight into any box to change its name, equity split or charge, tap Yours to mark your own holding, or × to remove it. The key control is Return adj — expected out- or under-performance versus the shared market outlook, in % a year. Any non-zero adjustment means it's no longer a strict like-for-like comparison.

“Apply 5-yr track record” fills in each fund's return adjustment so its expected return equals its actual net return over the 5 years to Aug 2026 — Example fund 7.0% (sample), HSBC 8.8%, MyMap 6 8.6%, Vanguard LS80 8.6%, abrdn 8.0%, L&G MI6 7.5%, MI7 9.5% (in the Central outlook; your platform/adviser fees still apply on top). It answers “what if each fund repeated its recent record?” — it is not a forecast, and past performance is not a guide to the future. “Reset adjustments” rolls every fund back to zero (a strict like-for-like comparison).

Illustration only, not financial advice. Your figures never leave your browser.

Your fund: Example Managed Fund

 

Pot value over your retirement

How the funds compare

Stay vs switch — the decision
Keep your fund, or move to another? Pick a fund to switch to:
Show the workings — year-by-year ledger
About the Navigator

An open, unbiased way to pressure-test a retirement income.

What it's for

Anyone drawing — or about to draw — an income from an invested pension pot faces one question: will it last? The Navigator answers it for your own numbers, and shows how the fund you pick and the charges you pay quietly change the outcome over a lifetime.

Every figure is an assumption you control. The starting example is illustrative; change the pot, the income, the market outlook and the funds to match your own situation.

How the numbers are worked out

1Each quarter the income is taken first, then the balance grows.

2A fund's return = your shares-growth and bonds-growth rates applied to its equity/bond mix, minus its yearly costs (fund charge, plus any platform or adviser fee you add).

3Income rises with inflation each year; "today's money" strips inflation back out so figures stay comparable.

4The odds come from running 2,000 random market histories around your average — using fatter‑tailed returns with mild year‑to‑year momentum, so occasional crashes and streaks are represented. The same inputs always give the same odds.

Good to know

Private by design. Everything is calculated in your own browser — none of your figures are sent anywhere or stored.

Editable, and it dates. Fund charges and asset mixes reflect factsheets from late July–early September 2026; check current figures before relying on them.

Not advice. This is a thinking tool, not personal financial advice, and its author is not a financial adviser. Results are only as good as the assumptions entered. For a decision of this size, consider a one-off review with an FCA-regulated adviser.

Important. This tool is an illustration to help you think, not personal financial advice, and its author is not a financial adviser. Every result depends entirely on the assumptions you enter; real investment returns are variable and not guaranteed, and past performance is no guide to the future. The probability figures come from a simplified simulation and should be read as rough odds, not promises. Tax treatment is simplified and depends on your circumstances. For a decision of this size, consider a one-off review with an FCA-regulated adviser. Fund data (charges and asset mix) is editable and may date; check current factsheets before relying on it.